Tsis ntev los no, Cornwall Insight, lub tuam txhab kev tshawb fawb lub zog British paub zoo, tau tshaj tawm tsab ntawv tshaj tawm tshawb fawb tshiab, qhia tias cov neeg nyob hauv tebchaws Askiv cov kev siv hluav taws xob xav tias yuav pom qhov poob qis hauv lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav. Daim ntawv tshaj tawm qhia tias cov tsev neeg Askiv cov nqi hluav taws xob yuav poob ze li 16% hauv lub sijhawm luv luv, uas tau tsav los ntawm cov nqi poob los ntawm qhov siab, nqa qee qhov kev pab rau cov tsev neeg nrog cov peev nyiaj nruj.
Kev kwv yees los ntawm Cornwall Insights qhia tias lub zog tswj Ofgem tus nqi txhua xyoo tuaj yeem poob mus rau £ 1,620 hauv lub Plaub Hlis xyoo no, nqis los ntawm ib puag ncig £ 1,928 hauv Lub Ib Hlis, poob mus txog £ 308. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias UK cov nqi hluav taws xob tau cia siab tias yuav poob mus ntxiv thoob plaws xyoo.
Daim ntawv tshaj tawm tau taw qhia tias cov nqi lag luam wholesale hluav taws xob tau pom qhov kev poob qis txij li nruab nrab Lub Kaum Ib Hlis xyoo tas los, uas yuav tsim cov xwm txheej rau kev txo nqi qab nthab. Ofgem tus nqi lub kaus mom sawv cev rau cov tsev neeg ib txwm muaj daim nqi txhua xyoo thiab cuam tshuam cov nqi muag khoom rau hluav taws xob thiab roj.
Txawm li cas los xij, Craig Lowry, tus kws pab tswv yim tseem ceeb ntawm Cornwall Insight, tau ceeb toom: "Txawm hais tias cov kev hloov pauv tsis ntev los no qhia cov nqi yuav nyob ruaj khov, tag nrho rov qab mus rau qib kev siv hluav taws xob yav dhau los yuav siv sij hawm." Cov kev hloov pauv, nrog rau kev txhawj xeeb ntxiv txog cov xwm txheej geopolitical, txhais tau tias peb tseem tuaj yeem ua tau. fim tus nqi siab dua qhov nruab nrab ntawm keeb kwm. "
Tsis tas li ntawd, kev nce nyiaj hauv tebchaws Askiv yuav maj mam yooj yim. Nyob rau hnub tim 22, lub koom haum Ernst & Young Statistics Club, ib lub chaw tshawb fawb txog kev lag luam hauv tebchaws Askiv, tau taw qhia hauv nws qhov kev txheeb xyuas nyiaj txiag tshiab tshaj plaws uas tam sim no stagflation hauv UK xav tias yuav txo qis hauv 2024.
Lub Ernst & Young Statistics Club tau taw qhia tias qhov teeb meem tseem ceeb tam sim no hauv kev loj hlob ntawm British kev lag luam yog kev nce nyiaj nce ntxiv thiab cov paj laum siab, ob qho tib si yuav txo qis hauv 2024. Ernst & Young kwv yees tias UK yuav tswj kev nce nqi qis dua 2% hauv lub Tsib Hlis. 2024. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, Bank of England yuav txiav cov paj laum nyob ib ncig ntawm 100 mus rau 125 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus hauv 2024, thiab tus nqi paj laum yuav poob los ntawm tam sim no 5.25% thaum kawg ntawm lub xyoo no. 4%.
Raws li ob qhov teeb meem kev lag luam no tau daws, qhov stagflation ntawm British kev lag luam yuav raug txo kom tsawg. Ernst & Young tau tsa nws qhov kev kwv yees rau UK kev lag luam loj hlob hauv 2024 rau 0.9% los ntawm yav dhau los 0.7%, thiab mus rau 1.8% hauv 2025 los ntawm yav dhau los 1.7%. Txawm li cas los xij, tus thawj coj ntawm EY Statistics Club kuj tau hais tias tseem muaj kev cov nyom. Yog tias kev nce nqi nce ntxiv, kev cia siab ntawm kev loj hlob rau British kev lag luam yuav cuam tshuam dua.
Alex Veitch, tus thawj coj txoj cai ntawm British Chambers of Commerce, tau hais tias: "Txoj kev txheeb cais tshiab qhia tias UK GDP loj hlob los ntawm {{0}}}.3% nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis xyoo tas los, tab sis nyob rau hauv peb lub hlis mus rau Kaum Ib Hlis, UK GDP poob rau lub hli dhau los, uas qhia tau hais tias UK Kev lag luam kev loj hlob tseem tsis yooj yim, UK kev lag luam zoo li yuav raug daig ntawm txoj kev loj hlob qeeb rau yav tom ntej. ob xyoos tom ntej no."
Raws li kev xam pom, qhov txo qis ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob thiab kev nce nqi hauv UK tau coj cov cim zoo rau tsev neeg. Txawm li cas los xij, tawm tsam keeb kwm yav dhau los ntawm kev loj hlob tsis zoo ntawm kev lag luam, tseem muaj ntau qhov tsis paub meej txog kev lag luam yav tom ntej. Thaum ntsib cov teeb meem ntawm kev lag luam hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb thiab cov kev pheej hmoo ntawm thaj chaw, tsoomfwv Askiv thiab cov chaw haujlwm cuam tshuam yuav tsum tau ua tib zoo saib xyuas cov nqi hluav taws xob hloov pauv thiab ntsuas kom ntseeg tau tias cov tsev neeg thiab cov lag luam tuaj yeem tiv taus cov kev pheej hmoo. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, UK yuav tsum nquag nrhiav kev kho thiab txhim kho nws cov qauv kev lag luam kom tau raws li cov kev cov nyom ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam yav tom ntej.